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21 Mar 2025, 15:30
Juliette Portala
|
France

Dispatch from France | March '25

French prime minister Francois Bayrou may have fended off a vote of no-confidence in parliament for the adoption of the 2025 finance bill, but the nation still has a long way to go to recover from the political turmoil brought by last June’s dissolution of the National Assembly. That is, if it is given enough time to do so. Far from winning unanimous support, a plan setting out France's energy strategy over the coming decade might soon bring the downfall of yet another government. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s return as US president is reigniting Franco-German relations, which soon-to-be chancellor Friedrich Merz and French president Emmanuel Macron appear keen to revive.

***Our weekly Dispatches provide an overview of the most relevant recent and upcoming developments for the shift to climate neutrality in selected European countries, from policy and diplomacy to society and industry. For a bird's-eye view of the country's climate-friendly transition, read the respective 'Guide to'.***

Stories to watch in the weeks ahead

The latest from France – last month in recap

  • New budget: With the newly adopted budget that prime minister Bayrou passed without a vote in the National Assembly, the French government aims to squeeze out some 50 billion euros in savings this year, which wouldbring the public deficit to 5.4 percent of GDP, down from 6 percent in 2024. Meanwhile, earlier in March, France’s central bank cut its 2025 growth forecast to 0.7 percent, down from 0.9 percent in December against the backdrop of increased national and international uncertainty.
  • Climate-ready plan: Earlier in the month, the French government presented its third national climate adaptation plan (PNACC), which outlines 52 national measures to prepare the country for a global warming scenario of 4 degrees Celsius more by the end of this century. The plan that had been postponed several times is backed by additional financing, including 1 billion euros for water agencies in the form of credits, 300 million euros for the Barnier Fund, also known as the Major Natural Hazards Prevention Fund, and 260 million euros for the Green Fund, which finances local projects supporting the green transition. However, observers have pointed to the lack of binding legislative changes to support the measures and clear financial guarantees. Meanwhile, the French government has warned of soaring insurance costs, as extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense. In the years through 2050, it projects that the cost of climate disasters may double and reach a cumulative 143 billion euros – an estimate that insurer association FranceAssureurs had mentioned several years ago.
  • Anti-green pressure: A confidential note leaked in late January revealed French president Emmanuel Macron’s push to delay EU directives requiring companies to report on their environmental footprint, amongst other compliance rules. Coupled with his recent call for a “massive regulatory break,” Macron has sparked outrage inside his own camp. Some of his allies have indeed complained that France had betrayed its reputation as one of Europe’s green champions.
  • Nuclear lobbying: On the initiative of French industrial organisation MEDEF, over a dozen business lobby groups committed to strengthening the European business nuclear alliance, which will complement the work of the existing group that was set up by the French government in 2023. In alignment with the Clean Industrial Deal, its members will look to foster "technology neutrality", securing access to funding, speeding up the industrialisation of the sector and supporting skills development.
  • Fusion record: Speaking about nuclear, French scientists have recently set a world record by maintaining hydrogen atoms in a state of plasma for 22 minutes, reaching a “crucial milestone” in nuclear fusion.

Juliette’s picks – highlights from upcoming events and top reads

  • Earlier in March, Radio Schuman invited Benjamin Haddad, minister delegate for European Affairs under Bayrou and his predecessor Michel Barnier, to discuss the country’s nuclear deterrent at a time when transatlantic relations are crumbling. This is a topic that we'll likely be hearing from a lot in the coming months.
  • National Geographic looks back on the success of the bestseller “World Without End,” mentioned in a previous Dispatch, with an interview of its author, Jean-Marc Jancovici: “Can this graphic novel change America’s views on climate? It did in France.”
  • Outside Europe, French newspaper Le Monde analyses “the Chinese paradox,” or how producing the very goods that are meant to facilitate the country’s green transition, like solar panels and wind turbines, is also slowing its climate progress.
  • On his crusade to cut federal costs, Trump is going at science and plunging academia in what Bloomberg qualifies as “chaos.” From funding freezes to mass firings, experts fear for the future of research and development in the United States.
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